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Re: Risk Assessment Modelling

Subject: Re: Risk Assessment Modelling
Date: 19 Aug 2004 10:40:32 -0000
In-Reply-To: <20040809122759.7177.qmail@www.securityfocus.com>

Hi All,

Thanks very much to those of you who had replied to my earlier message on IT 
Risk Assessment Model. I have developed a conceptual model for risk analysis in 
the past few days, and wanted to get your inputs/opinions.

The Model is based on:

1) Threats that are associated with an asset
2) The current control capabilities.

I am calculating an Inherent Risk Value for individual threats based on the 
Probability of Occurence of the threat, and the Severity of impact. (for this 
purpose, I am using a scale of 1 to 4, 1 being Low & 4 being Severe). I use a 
Sum of Squares approach (sum of squares of probability & Severity) to calculate 
the Inherent Risk Value.

Subsequently, I also evaluate the current control capability (segregating 
between Preventive & Corrective/Detective controls) to mitigate/address the 
threat (scale of 0 to 4, 0 being no control available, and 4 being highest 
level of control). Again, I use a sum of squares approach to determine the 
control capability value.

The Inherent Risk Value minus the Current Control Capability is the Residual 
Risk, for which I have defined threshold levels and accordingly graded risk as 
Low, Medium, High or Severe.

Based on this approach, I would have individual residual risk rating for each 
threat scenario that would apply to the asset.

I would like feedback on the approach that I have adopted, and whether the same 
is acceptable as part of the BS7799 Certification process. Inputs/comments 
would be much appreciated. 

Regards
Andrew.



From: atlantis 1 <atlantis1@fastmail.fm>
To: security-management@securityfocus.com
Subject: Risk Assessment Modelling



Hi,

I am currently working on a Risk Assessment Model as part of my organisation's 
initiative to prepare for a BS7799 Certification.

I have gone through NIST 800-30 and OCTAVE and am accordingly developing an 
excel based quasi quantitative model which takes into account threats, impact, 
probabilities of occurence in analysing risk.

I would like to know whether there are any standard software that can help me 
in doing a risk assessment exercise. I have heard about CRAMM, but have not 
had an opportunity to use/evaluate it. Any inputs on any good software 
applications in the field of Risk Assessment would be much appreciated.

Thanks in advance for your help.

Regards.
Andrew


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